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Name: Chris Zeller
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Being Grateful When Things Aren't So Good

 A lot has changed in the past year! A year ago the economy was much stronger, it was much easier to find a job, and generally speaking people felt pretty good about where our nation was headed. It is amazing how quickly things can change. As I write this there are people all throughout our region and our nation who have been laid off or can't find work, others who are retired and on fixed incomes have watched as their retirement accounts and 401k's have shrunk to a fraction of what they were just twelve months ago. Yes indeed, these are trying times and many of us are concerned about what the future may bring. In the midst of all the chaos and uncertainty that most of us currently face it is easy to become frustrated and even fearful about what the future holds.

     But we need to remember that it could be worse. That's right! It could be much worse and although our lives may have been disrupted by the failing job market or the falling stock market we need to remember that as bad as things may be now we are fortunate to have what we do. As Americans we enjoy a standard of living that many can only dream about. Many people in third world countries from Mexico to India would give nearly anything  to simply live in this country; let alone own a home or have a regular job in America, the land of opportunity. While I sympathize with the difficulties that all Americans face in this time of difficulty, I believe that we need to count our blessings, especially now when we are faced with great challenges like the ones we face today.

     I know it can be hard to count your blessings when you can't figure out how you are going to pay the bills but we need to try. The reality is that from air conditioning to shoes on our feet and a thousand others luxuries we enjoy as Americans we have it better than 90% of the world and that is something we ought to be very thankful for. This holiday season there may not be as many gifts under the tree, there may not be as much food in the cupboard, and there may not be as much money in your bank account but there is still plenty to be thankful for. Look around you and consider how much God has blessed you this year and be thankful! Happy Thanksgiving and Merry Christmas!

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Obama for Now: Palin 2012?

 

After the longest presidential campaign in US history America finally spoke and chose Barack Obama to be its 44th president. President-elect Obama faces daunting challenges as he begins his first term following his inauguration on January 20th of 2009. From the economic meltdown to the culture war in this country between the hard left and the hard right to the war with terrorism President-elect Obama seems to have the odds stacked against him. While campaigning Mr. Obama was able to blame George W. Bush for the countries woes but soon he will discover what every American President discovers, the buck stops with the man in charge. It won't take very long before the excitement of having a new president will begin wear off and Obama will find himself pitted against varying interests in this country, some of which supported his candidacy before his election.

While Obama is wildly popular now it is very possible, even quite likely that four years from now he will have considerably less support than he does now. Because even if he governs effectively there is now way  that he will be able to satisfy all competing interests at once, sooner or later he will have to choose sides, take positions, and thus alienate himself from a segment of the US electorate. Which means a President Obama may be more vulnerable in 2012 than the young political phenom was in 2008.Which leads me to ask the following question, "who will the GOP choose to run against Obama in 2012? The names are plentiful ranging from Bobby Jindal (Gov. LA), to Mitt Romney (Former Gov. of MA) to Mike Huckabee (former Gov. or AR) but the favorite is undoubtedly Sarah Palin the Governor of Alaska who ran with Senator McCain in his failed presidential campaign. Now Palin is certainly not a lock for the RNC nomination in 2012, alot can happen in four years, but there is no doubt that Palin currently has a distinct advantage at this time.

Now Palin's detractors suggest that she lacks the intellect and the knowledge to occupy the highest office in the land but I do not agree and more importantly neither does the GOP. In a recent poll by Rasmussen Reports Sarah Palin was seen in a favorable light by 91% of Republicans and Very Favorable by 64%. In addition Palin was seen as the front runner for the nomination in 2012 by 64% of republicans with Huckabee preferred by 12% and Romney by 11%. So in a nut shell Palin has a very good shot at becoming the first female nominee for the Presidency by either party in a general election. And don't sell Palin short she could win if she chooses to run in 2012. I know it’s hard to imagine her defeating the Obama machine but it is not impossible and if anyone could do it my bet would be that it would be Sarah Palin.

Now let me say that Sarah Palin is not ready, at present, to win the nomination. Palin lacks understanding of key policy, judicial, economic, and foreign affairs issues, but these are things that Palin can learn and must master between now and 2010 when she would need to begin her campaign for the presidency. Governor Palin is a smart lady who will be a truly formidable opponent once she has a handle on the complicated issues that face America. Palin is a good decision maker who is also a principled reformer which is exactly what America needs in the Whitehouse. Palin is not someone who is likely to lose her way in the beltway trying to please special interest groups or getting dragged down by the corruption so inherent in the politics of Washington D.C. If Sarah Palin develops into the polished politician that she has the potential to become, while holding on to her folksy attitude and sweet demeanor, she will be a political animal to reckon with in the GOP for years to come and maybe even the first female president of the United States.

In baseball, big league clubs have farm teams where they develop young players until they are ready to play in the majors. I believe that Sarah Palin is one of the GOP's top prospects heading towards 2012. If she follows the model of Ronald Reagan who after losing his bid for the presidency in 1976 mastered the issues and crystallized their solutions into ideas that could be easily understood and communicated in common language Governor Palin has a real shot in 2012. If she works hard and develops her knowledge base and understanding of the key issues, there is no ceiling for someone with her raw talent. The question is will she reach her potential and help to resurrect the GOP? I think she just might.

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Obama for Now: Palin 2012?

 

After the longest presidential campaign in US history America finally spoke and chose Barack Obama to be its 44th president. President-elect Obama faces daunting challenges as he begins his first term following his inauguration on January 20th of 2009. From the economic meltdown to the culture war in this country between the hard left and the hard right to the war with terrorism President-elect Obama seems to have the odds stacked against him. While campaigning Mr. Obama was able to blame George W. Bush for the countries woes but soon he will discover what every American President discovers, the buck stops with the man in charge. It won't take very long before the excitement of having a new president will begin wear off and Obama will find himself pitted against varying interests in this country, some of which supported his candidacy before his election.

While Obama is wildly popular now it is very possible, even quite likely that four years from now he will have considerably less support than he does now. Because even if he governs effectively there is now way  that he will be able to satisfy all competing interests at once, sooner or later he will have to choose sides, take positions, and thus alienate himself from a segment of the US electorate. Which means a President Obama may be more vulnerable in 2012 than the young political phenom was in 2008.Which leads me to ask the following question, "who will the GOP choose to run against Obama in 2012? The names are plentiful ranging from Bobby Jindal (Gov. LA), to Mitt Romney (Former Gov. of MA) to Mike Huckabee (former Gov. or AR) but the favorite is undoubtedly Sarah Palin the Governor of Alaska who ran with Senator McCain in his failed presidential campaign. Now Palin is certainly not a lock for the RNC nomination in 2012, alot can happen in four years, but there is no doubt that Palin currently has a distinct advantage at this time.

Now Palin's detractors suggest that she lacks the intellect and the knowledge to occupy the highest office in the land but I do not agree and more importantly neither does the GOP. In a recent poll by Rasmussen Reports Sarah Palin was seen in a favorable light by 91% of Republicans and Very Favorable by 64%. In addition Palin was seen as the front runner for the nomination in 2012 by 64% of republicans with Huckabee preferred by 12% and Romney by 11%. So in a nut shell Palin has a very good shot at becoming the first female nominee for the Presidency by either party in a general election. And don't sell Palin short she could win if she chooses to run in 2012. I know it’s hard to imagine her defeating the Obama machine but it is not impossible and if anyone could do it my bet would be that it would be Sarah Palin.

Now let me say that Sarah Palin is not ready, at present, to win the nomination. Palin lacks understanding of key policy, judicial, economic, and foreign affairs issues, but these are things that Palin can learn and must master between now and 2010 when she would need to begin her campaign for the presidency. Governor Palin is a smart lady who will be a truly formidable opponent once she has a handle on the complicated issues that face America. Palin is a good decision maker who is also a principled reformer which is exactly what America needs in the Whitehouse. Palin is not someone who is likely to lose her way in the beltway trying to please special interest groups or getting dragged down by the corruption so inherent in the politics of Washington D.C. If Sarah Palin develops into the polished politician that she has the potential to become, while holding on to her folksy attitude and sweet demeanor, she will be a political animal to reckon with in the GOP for years to come and maybe even the first female president of the United States.

In baseball, big league clubs have farm teams where they develop young players until they are ready to play in the majors. I believe that Sarah Palin is one of the GOP's top prospects heading towards 2012. If she follows the model of Ronald Reagan who after losing his bid for the presidency in 1976 mastered the issues and crystallized their solutions into ideas that could be easily understood and communicated in common language Governor Palin has a real shot in 2012. If she works hard and develops her knowledge base and understanding of the key issues, there is no ceiling for someone with her raw talent. The question is will she reach her potential and help to resurrect the GOP? I think she just might.

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Conservatives Should Love Mormons

As a Southern Baptist Pastor who vehemently disagrees with a substantial majority of the theological views and religious practices of Mormonism as a whole, I have to admit that I have become particularly fond of practicing Mormons over the past few years. As a former resident of the great state of Idaho which is predominantly Mormon I have to admit that the people of the LDS church have always impressed me for their kindness and overall decency. Even Mormon missionaries who have knocked on my door (much to my chagrin) before have always been polite and respectful young men and women. But today I have an additional reason to respect the Mormon people; their active role in support of California's constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage which passed on Nov.4th. As a social conservative I have always recognized that Mormons have a lot in common with Evangelical Christians.

During the primaries I voted for Huckabee because I liked his ideas and he is after all, like me, a  fellow Baptist (a preacher at one time) but I also liked Mitt Romney. Now I would have gladly voted for Romney because I agree with him on most issues as a conservative but of course he did not win the GOP nomination. But what troubled me during the primaries was that many evangelicals said that they would not vote for Romney because he was a Mormon and my response is WHAT? What a short-sighted and ridiculous view. If the Christian right isn’t careful it might alienate itself within its own party. Evangelicals should unite with Mormons to move the agenda of this country towards socially conservative policies. The powerful influence of the LDS church in the passing of prop 8 in liberal California should be taken note of by those who value traditional conservative social values. I

If the GOP is to remain a viable force on the national scene the religious right must figure out how to unify with those who share their values. If the GOP wants to become a formidable force for years to come going forward it needs to figure out how to unify Evangelicals, Catholics, Mormons, and Hispanics, who tend to be socially conservative, into a united coalition of values driven voters. But this can only happen if each group learns to table theological and religious issues for the sake of political expediency. It is not necessary to change ones views about God and religion but it is essential that social conservatives table their theological differences when looking forward to the political future of our republic. These socially conservative values driven voters have more influence than most people realize but they must be galvanized and mobilized in order to move the cause of social conservatives forward.

After Romney lost the nomination I watched as Mormons lashed out in anger against evangelicals who wouldn't vote for Romney because he is a Mormon. Of all the stupid things I have seen Evangelicals and Republicans do over the years this was one of the most foolish I have ever seen. Values driven voters need to realize that those who are for their cause aren't against it and need to be mature enough to separate religious views from political goals. If the party can figure out how to cobble these groups together going forward the Democratic party will be at a huge disadvantage for years to come but the leadership of the GOP and the religious right need to work together to make this happen. We have to much at stake to squabble over important but irrelevant issues. I say lets work together to make America the kind of place we think it ought to be. Let's promote a culture of life, lets fight the subversive influence of the gay mafia in our country, and lets insist that traditional values are protected in America, and lets learn how to work with those who share our values even if they don't share our faith, because I a not scared to say "I Love Mormon's".

See this story regarding protests of Prop 8 : http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,447744,00.html

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Why McCain Will Win

      After the Powell endorsement this weekend the major media outlets and even some republicans are declaring that this is the "final nail in the coffin" for John McCain. While the Powell endorsement certainly doesn’t help McCain I do not believe it will significantly hurt him either. Americans make their own decisions based upon the issues and their own view of what America is and what it should be, endorsements are rarely if ever a factor in presidential elections. In addition whether it is fair or not many Americans will assume that Powell's decision to support Obama was based solely upon race. And this actually could hurt Obama with some voters who are frustrated by the racism they see coming from many minorities who will vote for Obama just because he is a black man.

    The media has been predicting an Obama win for weeks now and the rhetoric has only increased as the economy has floundered and the election grows ever near. The main stream media and the media elites from Katie Couric to Peggy Noonan and almost everyone else in between have consistently painted the picture that McCain has no hope of winning. Of course the media points to their polls and their electoral maps as the indisputable evidence of a landslide Obama win but who produces these polls? The answer: the same media outlets that have been cheerleading for the Obama campaign since the primaries. The truth is that these polls while interesting to follow are not an accurate gage of the American electorate. Ever since 1976 the polling data provided by the major pollsters has proven itself to be unreliable and inaccurate. Gerald Ford was down by 30 pts to Jimmy Carter in 1976 going into the last weeks of the election in the end Carter won by only 1 point. In 1980 Ronald Reagan was down by 5 Pts to incumbent Jimmy Carter going into Election Day but after the votes were tallied Reagan had won by 10 pts. This same phenomenon has been seen in every presidential election since '76' in every case the polls favor the Democrat and tend to skew the state of the race.

     More recently the pollsters predicted a Gore win in 2000 and a Kerry win in 2004 as history has proven these polls did not paint an accurate picture of how the American electorate would vote at all. The current polling data shows Obama up by 5 pts (RCP average) and the recent trend is that the polls continue to tighten. Obama himself recently began warning his supporters not to be over confident about this election; this indicates that his campaign is concerned that they might actually lose the election. If one looks at the polling data over the past 30 plus years and recognizes that the Democratic candidate has a built in 6-10 point artificial advantage in the polls, it appears that McCain is not just in this thing but is probably winning and will win on November 4th. In addition the Bradley effect is expected to result in Obama losing between 2-6% of the vote on Election Day to voters who will make a racially charged decision. While I abhor racism there is no doubt that a small percentage of the electorate has an unfair prejudice against the black community and that will have some impact on this race.

     The reality is that even in the primaries the polls have proven to be decidedly unreliable. Going into the New Hampshire and Pennsylvania primaries Obama had comfortable leads only to lose in both cases to Hillary Clinton. In New Hampshire the polls indicated Obama was up by 10 pts the day before the primary but Hillary won by several points. What all of this suggests is that this election is far from over and that McCain may actually have an advantage. The media will continue to paint a picture of an overwhelming Obama lead going into the election but what they say and what is really happening may be to very different things. In the end history is on McCain's side. America is a center right leaning country and McCain is a center right leaning candidate much to the chagrin of right leaning republicans who wish he would act more like a conservative. Obama is a far left democrat who is part of a radical socialist wing of his party. In the end Americans will vote based upon their own beliefs, values, and ideology and Obama is too extreme for mainstream America. History proves that Americans don't elect far left liberal candidates to the presidency, from George McGovern to Michael Dukakis and John Kerry Americans have always been distrustful of those who preach a socialist gospel of change.

     On November 4th America will vote and make John McCain the 44th president of the United States but they won't be voting FOR John Sidney McCain as much as they will be voting AGAINST Barrack Hussein Obama. So while the media touts the great virtues of Obama and moves to coronate "the one" or "that one" as McCain called him, don't believe the spin for a minute, because John McCain will win.



Read this Also: http://newswithviews.com/metcalf/metcalf267.htm
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